Results: (1-1) winner ✅ on the under and a close miss on ATS.
Pick 1: Cardinals +1.5 (ATS) ❌
📝 Reasoning:
A bit of a mixed bag this week for TNF. Our model likes the home underdog going against the public on Seattle in a close game.
~52% Seahawks win probability yet our model suggests close enough to favor a dog cover. Cardinals’ OL (~72 grade) supports Kyler Murray’s solid pass EPA, exploitable vs. Seahawks’ elite secondary (80+ coverage) on a short week. Seahawks’ run-D (78.2, 5th-ranked) could limit Arizona’s ground game.
Pick 2: Under 43.5 (O/U) ✅
📝 Reasoning:
Moderate convergence on the under. Our prediction is seeing this as a low-scoring game just notching the under. ~>55% public on over. Take the Under.
Seahawks’ top-5 run-D (78.2 grade) stifles Cardinals’ rushing. Both secondaries shine (Seahawks 80+ coverage, Cardinals ~70 with strong pass EPA allowed).
Seeing a close, grind-it-out game, favoring a lower total.
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Call 1-800-GAMBLER for help. For entertainment only. All picks hypothetical for fun—gamble responsibly!
The EdgeScout